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Receipt for one NFL pick. Published 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Graded 18 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.

Kansas City Chiefs -2 confirmed 5 h 15 min before kickoff; graded a win, 10–31

Spread, Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs, consensus of 8–11 books via The Odds API, 941 price snapshots from 26 August 2026 to 15 September 2026, 8 anchor cells (eu, us)

Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.

SharpUnit published Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-109) at 19:00 UTC on 14 September 2026, 5 h 15 min before kickoff (kickoff 00:16 UTC, 15 September 2026); the pick graded a win, final 10–31.

Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.

Cite as sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444-b596-41f4-bbf1-93a7842b489b, retrieved 20 Sept 2026.

What this receipt does not establish

Every field on this receipt was observed. Nothing here is inferred.

Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.

This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed. Graded 18 Sept 2026.

The pick, its price and its close

Kansas City Chiefs -2 at -109, Spread, Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs. Result: Win, 10–31. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API.
FieldValueNote
Line at publish-2
Close-2
Closing line value-1.72pp against Pinnacle
Confirmed14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC
Scheduled start15 September 2026, 00:16 UTC
LockLocked before game time, 5 h 15 min before kickoffLocked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 18 Sept 2026.

How the consensus spread moved

Consensus spread moved +0.7 pts · T-72h→close (72h) across 4 capture anchors.

Consensus home spread at the four capture anchors, Pinnacle where present, eu and us regions. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit.
AnchorRegionRequested (UTC)Drift (s)BooksHome spread
T-72heu12 September 2026, 00:15 UTC-4822-2.5
T-72hus12 September 2026, 00:15 UTC-4811-2.4545454545454546
T-24heu14 September 2026, 00:15 UTC-4822-2.323529411764706
T-24hus14 September 2026, 00:15 UTC-4811-2.227272727272727
T-3heu14 September 2026, 21:15 UTC-4821-2.0625
T-3hus14 September 2026, 21:15 UTC-4811-1.8181818181818181
closeeu15 September 2026, 00:00 UTC-4921-1.84375
closeus15 September 2026, 00:00 UTC-4911-1.7727272727272727

Drift is the vendor's returned instant minus the requested anchor, in seconds. Generations present: live-anchored-v1.

-2.4545454545454546-1.7727272727272727T-72hclose
Two-point slope: consensus home spread -2.4545454545454546 at T-72h to -1.7727272727272727 at close, a change of +0.68 points over 72 hours. Nothing was observed between the two anchors.

6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -1.2 pp (de-vigged, home side).

See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 15 Sept 2026.

Where this pick sits

This pick is one of 636 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 20 Sept 2026: 379–242–15). See the record.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 20 Sept 2026.

Provenance

Rows read: pick 1fb53444-b596-41f4-bbf1-93a7842b489b, market be6d8754-90a9-4471-9e66-9b0086b665db, 941 price snapshots (26 Aug 2026 to 15 Sept 2026), 8 anchor cells (live-anchored-v1). Contract v1, generated 20 September 2026, 02:47 UTC. Score source: odds-api:/v4/scores/americanfootball_nfl/2026-09-15.

How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/1fb53444. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/1fb53444. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.