Public Ledger

These notes are a dated history of past corrections. The current record is 605–473 (27 P) · 56.1% · -10.9u.

Restatement — 2026-07-04: a grading bug was found and fixed — spread/run-line picks had been graded against the market consensus line with a default-to-push fallback, which recorded decided picks as pushes. 38 picks were regraded from source-of-record scores. The record was corrected from 45–17 (41 P) · 72.6% · +15.9u to 64–31 (8 P) · 67.4% · +18.1u — the record as it stood on 2026-07-04.

2026-07-04 — Restored six picks that had been manually voided on 2026-06-26, days after their games ended (3 losses, 3 draw-pushes); the 2026-07-04 record moved 67.4% → 65.3% as of that date. Policy: once a pick is published, its result stands — win, lose, or push. Voids are only for picks that never became gradeable.

Void = a pick that never became gradeable — no confirmed betting line or no verified final score (e.g., a canceled or unverifiable game). Voids count neither for nor against the record.

Market/model probabilities on some early soccer picks reflect a since-corrected two-way calculation; win/loss grading was never affected.

† Two picks (Shara Magomedov ML and Asu Almabaev ML, 2026-06-27) were logged at/just after the listed start time. They remain graded and counted, flagged here as not strictly logged-before-start.