Receipt for one UFC pick. Published 10 October 2026, 21:00 UTC. Graded 12 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Brendan Allen ML confirmed 5 h 13 min before kickoff; graded a win, Brendan Allen won
Moneyline, Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen, consensus of 1–9 books via The Odds API, 448 price snapshots from 1 October 2026 to 11 October 2026, no anchor cells (anchored capture does not cover UFC)
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.
SharpUnit published Brendan Allen ML (-115) at 21:00 UTC on 10 October 2026, 5 h 13 min before kickoff (kickoff 02:14 UTC, 11 October 2026); the pick graded a win — Brendan Allen won the bout.
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.
What this receipt does not establish (3)
- [z]No line at publish is shown for this bet type.
- [z]Anchored capture does not cover UFC; this is "no anchors ever", not "no anchors yet".
- [z]No percentile: this corpus holds no completed-season population of anchored moves for UFC.
Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.
This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/295fd004. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard. Graded 12 Oct 2026.
The pick, its price and its close
| Field | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Line at publish | [z] no line for this bet type | No line at publish is shown for this bet type. |
| Close | [z] price only · no points line | A moneyline has no points line to close at; the closing price was captured, and closing line value is measured on that price. |
| Closing line value | +0.23pp against Pinnacle | |
| Confirmed | 10 October 2026, 21:00 UTC | |
| Scheduled start | 11 October 2026, 02:14 UTC | |
| Lock | Locked before game time, 5 h 13 min before kickoff | Locked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start. |
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/295fd004. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 12 Oct 2026.
How the consensus spread moved
Anchored capture does not cover UFC; this is "no anchors ever", not "no anchors yet".
6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -1.2 pp (de-vigged, home side).
See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/295fd004. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 11 Oct 2026.
Where this pick sits
This pick is one of 1089 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 25 Oct 2026: 598–464–27). See the record.
This pick is part of the public record shown here.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/295fd004. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 25 Oct 2026.
Provenance
Rows read: pick 295fd004-823c-4b2d-b0a8-542fc5e92c75, market 63743e3f-d50a-41b7-84bf-04c458f45af5, 448 price snapshots (1 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026), 0 anchor cells. Contract v1, generated 25 October 2026, 10:25 UTC. Score source: espn:mma/ufc/20261010.
How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/295fd004. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/295fd004. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.