Receipt for one NFL pick. Published 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Graded 23 October 2026, 00:00 UTC.
San Francisco 49ers -7.5 confirmed 5 h 15 min before kickoff; graded a loss, 17–23
Spread, Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers, consensus of 3–11 books via The Odds API, 1374 price snapshots from 26 August 2026 to 20 October 2026, 8 anchor cells (eu, us)
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
SharpUnit published San Francisco 49ers -7.5 (-105) at 19:00 UTC on 19 October 2026, 5 h 15 min before kickoff (kickoff 00:16 UTC, 20 October 2026); the pick graded a loss, final 17–23.
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
What this receipt does not establish
Every field on this receipt was observed. Nothing here is inferred.
Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.
This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/f533582d. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed. Graded 23 Oct 2026.
The pick, its price and its close
| Field | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Line at publish | -7.5 | |
| Close | -7.5 | |
| Closing line value | -2.47pp against Pinnacle | |
| Confirmed | 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC | |
| Scheduled start | 20 October 2026, 00:16 UTC | |
| Lock | Locked before game time, 5 h 15 min before kickoff | Locked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start. |
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/f533582d. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 23 Oct 2026.
How the consensus spread moved
Consensus spread moved +0.36 pts · T-72h→close (72h) across 4 capture anchors.
The consensus spread moved 0.36 points, from -7.55 to -7.18 on the home side between 72 hours before kickoff and the close. That magnitude ranks in the 43rd percentile of 1,418 NFL T-72h→close moves in this corpus (The Odds API historical endpoint, US-region books, 10–19 responding per season), 2021–2025 seasons. A rank within this corpus, not a cause.
| Anchor | Region | Requested (UTC) | Drift (s) | Books | Home spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-72h | eu | 17 October 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 21 | -7.50 |
| T-72h | us | 17 October 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | -7.55 |
| T-24h | eu | 19 October 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 22 | -7.50 |
| T-24h | us | 19 October 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | -7.55 |
| T-3h | eu | 19 October 2026, 21:15 UTC | -48 | 21 | -7.47 |
| T-3h | us | 19 October 2026, 21:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | -7.41 |
| close | eu | 20 October 2026, 00:00 UTC | -48 | 22 | -7.06 |
| close | us | 20 October 2026, 00:00 UTC | -48 | 11 | -7.18 |
Drift is the vendor's returned instant minus the requested anchor, in seconds. Generations present: live-anchored-v1.
6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -1.6 pp (de-vigged, home side).
See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/f533582d. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 20 Oct 2026.
Where this pick sits
This pick is one of 1089 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 25 Oct 2026: 598–464–27). See the record.
This pick is part of the public record shown here.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/f533582d. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 25 Oct 2026.
Provenance
Rows read: pick f533582d-817e-4def-a7b6-fa21ef515321, market f66657ac-3c24-40e7-a3b7-aed5d0094b2b, 1374 price snapshots (26 Aug 2026 to 20 Oct 2026), 8 anchor cells (live-anchored-v1). Contract v1, generated 25 October 2026, 10:24 UTC. Score source: odds-api:/v4/scores/americanfootball_nfl/2026-10-20.
How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/f533582d. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/f533582d. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.