Receipt for one NCAAF pick. Published 10 October 2026, 21:00 UTC. Graded 11 October 2026, 08:00 UTC.
Boise State Broncos -8.5 confirmed 5 h 44 min before kickoff; graded a loss, 38–31
Spread, Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs, consensus of 1–11 books via The Odds API, 334 price snapshots from 4 October 2026 to 11 October 2026, 8 anchor cells (eu, us)
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
SharpUnit published Boise State Broncos -8.5 (-111) at 21:00 UTC on 10 October 2026, 5 h 44 min before kickoff (kickoff 02:45 UTC, 11 October 2026); the pick graded a loss, final 38–31.
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
What this receipt does not establish (1)
- [w]The entry and closing prices are on record but closing line value was not computed for this pick.
Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.
This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/fca6c973. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed. Graded 11 Oct 2026.
The pick, its price and its close
| Field | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Line at publish | -8.5 | |
| Close | -8.5 | |
| Closing line value | [w] not computed | The entry and closing prices are on record but closing line value was not computed for this pick. |
| Confirmed | 10 October 2026, 21:00 UTC | |
| Scheduled start | 11 October 2026, 02:45 UTC | |
| Lock | Locked before game time, 5 h 44 min before kickoff | Locked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start. |
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/fca6c973. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 11 Oct 2026.
How the consensus spread moved
Consensus spread moved +2.14 pts · T-72h→close (72h) across 4 capture anchors.
The consensus spread moved 2.14 points, from +6.45 to +8.59 on the home side between 72 hours before kickoff and the close. That magnitude ranks in the 87th percentile of 2,366 NCAAF T-72h→close moves in this corpus (The Odds API historical endpoint, US-region books, 9–14 responding per season), 2023–2025 seasons. A rank within this corpus, not a cause.
| Anchor | Region | Requested (UTC) | Drift (s) | Books | Home spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-72h | eu | 8 October 2026, 02:30 UTC | -49 | 10 | +6.35 |
| T-72h | us | 8 October 2026, 02:30 UTC | -49 | 10 | +6.45 |
| T-24h | eu | 10 October 2026, 02:30 UTC | -48 | 11 | +6.95 |
| T-24h | us | 10 October 2026, 02:30 UTC | -48 | 11 | +6.91 |
| T-3h | eu | 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC | -48 | 13 | +8.67 |
| T-3h | us | 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC | -48 | 11 | +8.68 |
| close | eu | 11 October 2026, 02:15 UTC | -48 | 14 | +8.25 |
| close | us | 11 October 2026, 02:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | +8.59 |
Drift is the vendor's returned instant minus the requested anchor, in seconds. Generations present: live-anchored-v1.
6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -2.8 pp (de-vigged, home side).
See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/fca6c973. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 11 Oct 2026.
Where this pick sits
This pick is one of 896 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 11 Oct 2026: 504–370–22). See the record.
This pick is part of the public record shown here.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/fca6c973. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 11 Oct 2026.
Provenance
Rows read: pick fca6c973-fd83-4a5f-8014-79b501ae3b70, market 5bfda4b1-d195-49c9-8c6f-f29ed7f81aad, 334 price snapshots (4 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026), 8 anchor cells (live-anchored-v1). Contract v1, generated 11 October 2026, 11:13 UTC. Score source: odds-api:/v4/scores/americanfootball_ncaaf/2026-10-11.
How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/fca6c973. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/fca6c973. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.