Receipt for one NFL pick. Published 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Graded 20 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Buffalo Bills -5.5 confirmed 5 h 17 min before kickoff; graded a win, 31–41
Spread, Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills, consensus of 4–11 books via The Odds API, 1000 price snapshots from 26 August 2026 to 16 September 2026, 8 anchor cells (eu, us)
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
SharpUnit published Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-109) at 19:00 UTC on 17 September 2026, 5 h 17 min before kickoff (kickoff 00:17 UTC, 18 September 2026); the pick graded a win, final 31–41.
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
What this receipt does not establish (1)
- [w]Only 1 distinct price observation were captured; fewer than three cannot show a shape, so no movement is drawn.
Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.
This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/73864c57. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed. Graded 20 Sept 2026.
The pick, its price and its close
| Field | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Line at publish | -5.5 | |
| Close | -5.5 | |
| Closing line value | -1.16pp against Pinnacle | |
| Confirmed | 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC | |
| Scheduled start | 18 September 2026, 00:17 UTC | |
| Lock | Locked before game time, 5 h 17 min before kickoff | Locked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start. |
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/73864c57. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 20 Sept 2026.
How the consensus spread moved
Consensus spread moved -0.9 pts · T-72h→close (72h) across 4 capture anchors.
| Anchor | Region | Requested (UTC) | Drift (s) | Books | Home spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-72h | eu | 15 September 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 21 | -4.3125 |
| T-72h | us | 15 September 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | -4.454545454545454 |
| T-24h | eu | 17 September 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 21 | -5.15625 |
| T-24h | us | 17 September 2026, 00:15 UTC | -48 | 11 | -5.181818181818182 |
| T-3h | eu | 17 September 2026, 21:15 UTC | -48 | 21 | -5.4375 |
| T-3h | us | 17 September 2026, 21:15 UTC | -48 | 10 | -5.5 |
| close | eu | 18 September 2026, 00:00 UTC | -48 | 21 | -5.3125 |
| close | us | 18 September 2026, 00:00 UTC | -48 | 10 | -5.35 |
Drift is the vendor's returned instant minus the requested anchor, in seconds. Generations present: live-anchored-v1.
Only 1 distinct price observation were captured; fewer than three cannot show a shape, so no movement is drawn.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/73864c57. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 16 Sept 2026.
Where this pick sits
This pick is one of 636 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 20 Sept 2026: 379–242–15). See the record.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/73864c57. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 20 Sept 2026.
Provenance
Rows read: pick 73864c57-58e8-4193-82d5-f58c54dbbb88, market 8bb357f8-c842-4b8d-ab07-d3a660272774, 1000 price snapshots (26 Aug 2026 to 16 Sept 2026), 8 anchor cells (live-anchored-v1). Contract v1, generated 20 September 2026, 02:58 UTC. Score source: odds-api:/v4/scores/americanfootball_nfl/2026-09-18.
How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/73864c57. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/73864c57. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.