Receipt for one NCAAF pick. Published 3 October 2026, 10:00 UTC. Graded 3 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Air Force Falcons -3 confirmed 6 h 4 min before kickoff; graded a win, 9–14
Spread, Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons, consensus of 1–11 books via The Odds API, 311 price snapshots from 27 September 2026 to 3 October 2026, 8 anchor cells (eu, us)
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
SharpUnit published Air Force Falcons -3 (-106) at 10:00 UTC on 3 October 2026, 6 h 4 min before kickoff (kickoff 16:05 UTC, 3 October 2026); the pick graded a win, final 9–14.
Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.
What this receipt does not establish
Every field on this receipt was observed. Nothing here is inferred.
Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.
This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/da5bc424. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed. Graded 3 Oct 2026.
The pick, its price and its close
| Field | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Line at publish | -3 | |
| Close | -3 | |
| Closing line value | +0.53pp against Pinnacle | |
| Confirmed | 3 October 2026, 10:00 UTC | |
| Scheduled start | 3 October 2026, 16:05 UTC | |
| Lock | Locked before game time, 6 h 4 min before kickoff | Locked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start. |
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/da5bc424. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 3 Oct 2026.
How the consensus spread moved
Consensus spread moved +0.33 pts · T-72h→close (72h) across 4 capture anchors.
The consensus spread moved 0.33 points, from -3.15 to -2.82 on the home side between 72 hours before kickoff and the close. That magnitude ranks in the 27th percentile of 2,366 NCAAF T-72h→close moves in this corpus (The Odds API historical endpoint, US-region books, 9–14 responding per season), 2023–2025 seasons. A rank within this corpus, not a cause.
| Anchor | Region | Requested (UTC) | Drift (s) | Books | Home spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-72h | eu | 30 September 2026, 16:00 UTC | -49 | 17 | -3.19 |
| T-72h | us | 30 September 2026, 16:00 UTC | -49 | 10 | -3.15 |
| T-24h | eu | 2 October 2026, 16:00 UTC | -48 | 17 | -3.36 |
| T-24h | us | 2 October 2026, 16:00 UTC | -48 | 11 | -3.27 |
| T-3h | eu | 3 October 2026, 13:00 UTC | -49 | 17 | -2.93 |
| T-3h | us | 3 October 2026, 13:00 UTC | -49 | 11 | -2.91 |
| close | eu | 3 October 2026, 15:45 UTC | -49 | 17 | -2.89 |
| close | us | 3 October 2026, 15:45 UTC | -49 | 11 | -2.82 |
Drift is the vendor's returned instant minus the requested anchor, in seconds. Generations present: live-anchored-v1.
6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -2.2 pp (de-vigged, home side).
See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/da5bc424. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 3 Oct 2026.
Where this pick sits
This pick is one of 794 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 3 Oct 2026: 456–319–19). See the record.
This pick is part of the public record shown here.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/da5bc424. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 3 Oct 2026.
Provenance
Rows read: pick da5bc424-9841-4c72-a3a3-ba5b116dad62, market 89b321a7-625f-4917-9acd-f4118a3abd75, 311 price snapshots (27 Sept 2026 to 3 Oct 2026), 8 anchor cells (live-anchored-v1). Contract v1, generated 3 October 2026, 20:29 UTC. Score source: odds-api:/v4/scores/americanfootball_ncaaf/2026-10-03.
How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/da5bc424. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.
SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/da5bc424. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from The Odds API scores feed.