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Receipt for one UFC pick. Published 17 October 2026, 20:00 UTC. Graded 18 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Cristian Pérez ML confirmed 5 h 44 min before kickoff; graded a win, Cristian Pérez won

Moneyline, Cristian Pérez vs Kyle Nelson, consensus of 1–7 books via The Odds API, 408 price snapshots from 9 October 2026 to 18 October 2026, no anchor cells (anchored capture does not cover UFC)

Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.

SharpUnit published Cristian Pérez ML (-346) at 20:00 UTC on 17 October 2026, 5 h 44 min before kickoff (kickoff 01:45 UTC, 18 October 2026); the pick graded a win — Cristian Pérez won the bout.

Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.

Cite as sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda-e8f5-4e61-9c31-4e2cd793bfd2, retrieved 25 Oct 2026.

What this receipt does not establish (3)

  • [z]No line at publish is shown for this bet type.
  • [z]Anchored capture does not cover UFC; this is "no anchors ever", not "no anchors yet".
  • [z]No percentile: this corpus holds no completed-season population of anchored moves for UFC.

Shorthand: [x] not available, [z] not applicable, [w] none recorded, [u] not provable, [p] provisional. Each is computed from the stored rows for this pick, not written by hand.

This receipt describes one pick. It carries no forecast, makes no claim about any other pick, and is not a recommendation.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard. Graded 18 Oct 2026.

The pick, its price and its close

Cristian Pérez ML at -346, Moneyline, Cristian Pérez vs Kyle Nelson. Result: Win, Cristian Pérez won. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API.
FieldValueNote
Line at publish[z] no line for this bet typeNo line at publish is shown for this bet type.
Close[z] price only · no points lineA moneyline has no points line to close at; the closing price was captured, and closing line value is measured on that price.
Closing line value+0.00pp against Pinnacle
Confirmed17 October 2026, 20:00 UTC
Scheduled start18 October 2026, 01:45 UTC
LockLocked before game time, 5 h 44 min before kickoffLocked before game time — the confirmation timestamp precedes the scheduled start.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda. Source: SharpUnit pick record; The Odds API. Graded 18 Oct 2026.

How the consensus spread moved

Anchored capture does not cover UFC; this is "no anchors ever", not "no anchors yet".

6 anchored snapshots between first observed and close; net move -0.1 pp (de-vigged, home side).

See the six-mark de-vigged series for this game

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda. Source: The Odds API historical endpoint, captured by SharpUnit. Last snapshot 18 Oct 2026.

Where this pick sits

This pick is one of 1089 graded picks in the public record (17 Jun – 25 Oct 2026: 598–464–27). See the record.

This pick is part of the public record shown here.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda. Source: SharpUnit pick record (pick_stats). As of 25 Oct 2026.

Provenance

Rows read: pick cafdfeda-e8f5-4e61-9c31-4e2cd793bfd2, market a6878927-cd56-4acb-b22c-06e5a3e6e68d, 408 price snapshots (9 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026), 0 anchor cells. Contract v1, generated 25 October 2026, 10:20 UTC. Score source: espn:mma/ufc/20261017.

How every field on this page is derived: the method. The compact receipt for this pick: sharp-unit.com/receipt/cafdfeda. Timestamp checked per pick · graded in public.

SharpUnit, sharp-unit.com/artifact/cafdfeda. Source: SharpUnit pick record; event clock and odds from The Odds API; score from ESPN scoreboard.