NCAAF · moneyline movement
Washington State Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats
Scheduled start 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC. Movement is shown in de-vigged implied probability points for Kansas State Wildcats, at fixed anchors before start. Every anchor reports the real time of the snapshot it used.
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Net move, first observed → close+0.19probability points
| Anchor | De-vig Wildcats | Observed | Offset | Price (display) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-24h · first observed | 87.0% | 09-11 15:30 | 29m | -977 / +636 | 11 |
| T-12h | 87.1% | 09-12 03:30 | 29m | -998 / +644 | 11 |
| T-6h | 87.2% | 09-12 09:30 | 29m | -1001 / +647 | 11 |
| T-3h | 87.2% | 09-12 12:30 | 29m | -1001 / +647 | 11 |
| T-1h | 87.2% | 09-12 14:30 | 29m | -998 / +647 | 11 |
| CLOSE | 87.2% | 09-12 15:30 | 29m | -998 / +647 | 11 |
Offset is how stale the snapshot is relative to its anchor — the last observation at or before the mark is carried forward, never interpolated, so an offset above two hours means that row is an older price standing in for the mark. The CLOSE snapshot was taken 29m before the scheduled start.
Also moved
• Consensus spread changed during the captured window.• Consensus total changed during the captured window.
How to read this, and what it is not
- • “First observed”, not “opening line”. Capture began 2026-08-26. The earliest row is the first price this system saw, which is not where the market opened — that happened before the capture existed.
- • No interpolation. Each anchor is the last real snapshot at or before its mark, with the offset shown. A missing anchor is left missing.
- • Probability points, not cents. American prices are discontinuous across ±100, so equal cent-moves are unequal probability moves. The prices in the table are display only.
- • Coverage is uneven by sport. In the captured window, completed games with a full anchor series exist mainly for MLB, UFC and Soccer. NFL, NBA and NHL have snapshots but few completed games, so most of their pages will show the no-chart statement above.
- • It describes the market. Movement is not a prediction and says nothing about the result.
Related: CLV calculator · no-vig calculator.
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