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NCAAF · moneyline movement

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers

Scheduled start 2026-09-12 23:30 UTC. Movement is shown in de-vigged implied probability points for LSU Tigers, at fixed anchors before start. Every anchor reports the real time of the snapshot it used.

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No movement chart for this game

Across 300 snapshots the de-vigged price took only 2 distinct values at the anchors, starting from 97.7%. That is not enough to draw a movement chart honestly.

A chart needs at least three anchored observations and at least three distinct de-vigged prices. This game has 6 anchors and 2 distinct prices. Drawing a line through that would show a shape the market never made.

Also moved

• Consensus spread changed during the captured window.• Consensus total changed during the captured window.

How to read this, and what it is not

  • “First observed”, not “opening line”. Capture began 2026-08-26. The earliest row is the first price this system saw, which is not where the market opened — that happened before the capture existed.
  • No interpolation. Each anchor is the last real snapshot at or before its mark, with the offset shown. A missing anchor is left missing.
  • Probability points, not cents. American prices are discontinuous across ±100, so equal cent-moves are unequal probability moves. The prices in the table are display only.
  • Coverage is uneven by sport. In the captured window, completed games with a full anchor series exist mainly for MLB, UFC and Soccer. NFL, NBA and NHL have snapshots but few completed games, so most of their pages will show the no-chart statement above.
  • It describes the market. Movement is not a prediction and says nothing about the result.

Related: CLV calculator · no-vig calculator.

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